TCMB Interest Rate Decision: What Are Investors Expecting?

TCMB Prepares to Announce Interest Rate Decision

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (TCMB) Monetary Policy Committee is set to announce its new interest rate decision at a meeting on December 11, 2025. The decision is expected to be announced to the public at 14:00. At the previous meeting on October 23, 2025, the TCMB lowered the policy rate from 40.5% to 39.5%.

Expectations for Interest Rate Cuts

Investors are closely watching the new decision to be made by the TCMB. In a survey conducted by AA Finance, out of 38 economists, 14 expect a 100 basis point cut, 17 expect a 150 basis point cut, and 7 predict a 200 basis point cut. These expectations are crucial for the trajectory of the Turkish economy.

Predictions from Foreign Institutions

Foreign financial institutions also anticipate a change in the TCMB's interest rate policy. Standard Chartered expects a 100 basis point cut, while other institutions like Bloomberg Economics, Capital Economics, and Dekabank Deutsche estimate a cut of 150 basis points. These differing predictions play an important role in the decision-making processes of investors.

In Conclusion

For investors, the decision to be made by the TCMB holds critical importance in terms of economic outlook and interest rates. Furthermore, how the rate cut will impact the markets is being closely monitored by investors. In the coming days, market trading strategies will be shaped in accordance with this decision.