


Recently, the persistent decline in inflation has strengthened the hand of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) for its interest rate reduction policies. The policy rate, which was 47.5% at the beginning of the year, has been lowered to 38% with a 150 basis point reduction. This situation not only creates a new recovery ground for companies with high debt structures but also presents opportunities for investors.
With the reduction in costs, it is important to focus not only on low-cost stocks but also on companies that can respond most quickly to the changes in the interest rate environment. It is anticipated that a regular reduction process will continue into 2026. Additionally, companies with positive free cash flow and strong operational margins form a group with the fastest recovery potential due to the effects of financial leverage.
One common feature of these companies is that despite weak price performance, they have not lost strength in their fundamental indicators. Even during periods when the market punishes such companies, their strong cash flows ensure the sustainability of their solid structures. Overall, as interest rate reductions accelerate, this structure could lead to delayed but strong price increases.
Since the beginning of the year, the base index has provided a 0% return, while free cash flow growth has occurred at above 0%. When filtering for companies with the highest upside potential, it is important to identify the most notable firms among them. Careful analysis regarding which stocks investors should focus on is crucial for forming an effective strategy during this period.
In conclusion, companies operating in a low-interest environment and maintaining balance sheet quality present potential opportunities for investors. Strengthening fundamental indicators may serve as a precursor to market movements.
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