


Serious declines are being experienced in cocoa futures; prices have fallen to $5,200 per ton, reaching nearly the lowest point in the last two years. The underlying trend of this decline is based on positive signals regarding production conditions in West Africa. Especially, reports from farmers in the Côte d'Ivoire indicate that cocoa trees are healthy and the recent dry weather has contributed to the drying of the harvested beans.
The strengthening optimistic expectations for the October-March harvest season are having a significant impact on the markets. Producers and investors' forecasts of a healthy harvest period bring hope for an increase in total supply. Thus, the rising supply inevitably puts pressure on prices. The competitive positioning of cocoa in the markets raises questions about the sustainability of this situation.
Especially, companies involved in cocoa trading need to carefully monitor market dynamics and price fluctuations. The decline in prices will affect not only the current year but also the trading strategies in the upcoming periods. It is of great importance for investors to make strategic decisions regarding the market considering these developments in the upcoming process.
As a result, the drop in cocoa prices to such low levels indicates a significant change in the supply-demand balance. How producers will be affected by this and how the market will shape in the future are among the important factors that need to be closely monitored during this process.
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