TCMB Interest Rate Decision: What Are Investors Expecting?

TCMB Prepares to Announce Interest Rate Decision

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (TCMB) Monetary Policy Committee is set to announce its new interest rate decision at a meeting scheduled for December 11, 2025. The decision is expected to be announced to the public at 14:00. In the previous meeting, on October 23, 2025, the TCMB lowered the policy rate from 40.5% to 39.5%.

Interest Rate Cut Expectations

Investors are closely watching the new decision to be made by the TCMB. Among 38 economists surveyed by AA Finance, 14 predict a 100 basis point cut, 17 foresee a 150 basis point cut, and 7 anticipate a 200 basis point reduction. These expectations are critical for the trajectory of the Turkish economy.

Foreign Institutions' Predictions

Foreign financial institutions also expect a change in the TCMB's interest rate policy. Standard Chartered forecasts a 100 basis point cut, while other institutions such as Bloomberg Economics, Capital Economics, and Dekabank Deutsche estimate a cut of 150 basis points. These varying predictions play a significant role in investors' decision-making processes.

In Conclusion

For investors, the decision to be made by the TCMB holds crucial significance in terms of economic outlook and interest rates. Additionally, how an interest rate cut will affect the markets is being closely monitored by investors. In the coming days, market trading strategies will be shaped in accordance with this decision.