Fed Week: What Awaits Investors?

Optimism Prevails in Global Markets

Optimism has begun to replace trade tensions in global markets. Although the Trump administration's tariff agreements remain uncertain, positive inflation data from the U.S. is reinforcing expectations for interest rate cuts. Borsa Istanbul closed in the positive last week after a moderate performance. In the new week, investors are focused on the Fed's interest rate decision.

What Happened Last Week?

• CBRT Interest Rate Cut: The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) reduced the interest rate by 100 basis points to 39.5%, in line with market expectations.
• U.S. Consumer Inflation: U.S. consumer inflation (CPI) came in below expectations, increasing by 0.3% month-on-month and 3% year-on-year.
• Dow Jones Hits Record: The Dow Jones index closed at 47,000 for the first time in history, driven by a strong earnings season.
• Gold Prices Soared: Gold prices exceeded $4,300, reaching a new peak. The quarter gold price hit 10,000 TL.
• Bitcoin Up 4.5%: Despite leveraged position liquidations, Bitcoin gained 4.5% in value over the week.

3rd Quarter Earnings Season Approaches

As the third quarter earnings season approaches, brokerage predictions are increasing stock-specific divergence in the markets. Despite strong earnings expectations, companies that are underperforming relative to the index may have rapid recovery potential. In this process, a selective and balanced strategy is critical for investors.

Signs of Recovery in the Crypto Market

After the turbulent start to October, the cryptocurrency market is showing signs of recovery. According to CryptoQuant data, large investors known as the "whale" group, holding between 100-1,000 BTC, continue to accumulate Bitcoin despite market fluctuations.

Focus on Interest Rate Decision in the Markets

This week, the Fed's interest rate decision is eagerly awaited. The possibility of interest rate cuts will help shape investors' future strategies.