Weekly Bulletin 02.06.2025 Calendar and Market Outlook

Daily ReportUS Stocks News

The flow of data from the US in the new week will drive the markets. Powell's statements, non-farm employment report and PMI data hold both risks and opportunities for investors.

🧭 Weekly Economic Calendar and Market Expectations (June 2—6, 2025)

A busy calendar of economic data that will impact global markets awaits investors as we head into the new week. Employment data vital to the US Federal Reserve's future interest rate policy and statements from central bank officials could directly affect market pricing.

📅 Monday — June 2: Strong Start to the Week

  • S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May — Final) [Medium]: Pioneering data testing the power of economic momentum.
  • ISM Manufacturing Index (May) [High Importance]: Key data showing whether the manufacturing sector is expanding.
  • Construction Expenditure (April) [Low Importance]: Gives clues about the state of the housing market.
  • Speech by Fed President Jerome Powell [High Importance]: Critical for signals on the interest rate path.
  • Dallas Fed President Logan & Chicago Fed President Goolsbee Speak [High Importance]: May affect the market direction.

📅 Tuesday — June 3: Labor Market and Orders Data

  • Factory Orders (April) [Medium]: Provides information about industrial production.
  • JOLTS Job Openings (April) [High Importance]: Important to assess the tightness in the labor market.
  • Fed Speeches — Logan & Goolsbee [Medium]: May indicate differences in tone on monetary policy.

📅 Wednesday — June 4: Service Sector and ADP Data

  • ADP Private Sector Employment (May) [High Importance]: Leading indicator for Friday's NFP data.
  • S&P Services PMI (May — Final) [Medium]: Provides information about the health of the service sector.
  • ISM Services Index (May) [Medium]: Clarifies the situation at the border of expansion/contraction of the service economy.
  • Bold Beige Book [Medium]: Detailed summary of regional economic activities.
  • Speech by Atlanta Fed President Bostic [Low Importance]: Provides information on the regional economic outlook.

📅 Thursday — June 5: Trade Balance and Unemployment Data

  • Weekly Unemployment Applications [Medium]: Reveals short-term trends in the labor market.
  • US Foreign Trade Balance (April) [High Importance]: Critical data on trade deficit and external balance.
  • Productivity Data — Q1 Revised [Low Importance]: Clarifies trends on the productivity side.
  • Philadelphia Fed President Harker's Speech [Medium]: May affect interest rate expectations in the market.

📅 Friday — June 6: The Most Critical Day of the Week

  • Non-Agricultural Employment — NFP (May) [High Importance]: The most critical data of the week in terms of the Fed's interest rate decision.
  • Average Hourly Earnings [High Importance]: Gives signals of wage inflation.
  • Unemployment Rate [High Importance]: The overall health of the labor market is assessed.
  • Consumer Loans (April) [Medium]: Provides information on household borrowing trends.

🧠 Expert Review

Volatility is expected to increase in the short term, as both the employment data and statements by Fed officials could carry clear messages on monetary policy. In the medium term, any weakening in the labor market could strengthen the prospects for an interest rate cut. In the long term, maintaining economic momentum will be decisive in determining the direction of both the stock market and the dollar. All this data will play a vital role in the investor's strategy formation.

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🛑 Disclaimer

This content is created by Investment Desk AI and does not constitute investment advice. You should make your decisions based on your own research and expert advisors.

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