


Borsa Istanbul is at a critical threshold in a period where macroeconomic data plays a decisive role. Investors are paying attention not only to the upcoming inflation data but also to its reflections in the markets and changing liquidity conditions. The inflation data for December, to be released on the morning of January 5, 2026, could create an important catalyst for the index.
December's inflation is expected to be around 1% on a monthly basis. The projections of the economic management indicate that it will close the year around 31% and that inflation may decline to the 20s level starting January. Such a scenario could create a strong support element for the stock market. The decrease in inflation rates from 30% to 20% can breach the psychological threshold, leading to an improvement in risk perception.
Investors' interest may shift from defensive assets to stocks that respond the fastest to market enthusiasm. This situation could offer new opportunities for companies that may diverge positively from the general trend of stocks with the announcement of the inflation data. Confirmation of the disinflation process could increase the risk appetite in stocks with high beta values.
To identify the stocks most affected by the disinflation processes, past performances following interest rate cuts have been examined, showing that especially banking and holding shares appear to have high profit potential in the new period. The optimism brought by the announced data can also increase investors' interest in the stocks on their radar.
The average weekly returns have been calculated as 0% alongside the weekly performance preceding the last inflation data and the interest rate cuts in 2025. Stocks that stand out were filtered among companies with high market capitalization and should be brought to the attention of investors.
The information provided here does not constitute investment advice. Please evaluate your investment decisions carefully and seek professional consulting.
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