


Borsa Istanbul is at a critical threshold during a period where macroeconomic data plays a decisive role. Investors are paying attention not only to the upcoming inflation data but also to the market reactions to these data and the changing liquidity conditions. The December inflation data, which will be released on the morning of January 5, 2026, could serve as an important catalyst for the index.
It is anticipated that the December inflation will occur around 1% on a monthly basis. The projections from the economic management indicate that the year will close around 31% and inflation is expected to decrease to the 20% levels starting in January. Such a scenario could provide a strong support element for the stock market. The decrease in inflation rates from 30% to 20% can surpass the psychological threshold and improve risk perception.
Investor interest may shift from defensive assets to stocks that react most quickly to market enthusiasm. This situation could present new opportunities for companies that may stand out positively from the general trend of stocks following the announcement of the inflation data. The confirmation of the disinflation process could increase the risk appetite for stocks with a high beta value.
To identify the stocks that are most affected by disinflation processes, analyzing past performances after interest rate cuts suggests that especially banking and holding shares appear to have a high capacity for generating gains in the new period. The optimism brought by the announced data could also boost interest in the stocks on investors' radars.
The average weekly returns, calculated at 0%, were derived from the weekly performance prior to the last inflation data and the interest rate cuts in 2025. As a result of filtering among companies with high market capitalization, noteworthy stocks should be presented to investors.
The information provided here does not constitute investment advice. Please carefully evaluate your investment decisions and seek professional counsel.
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