Did the Dollar See Dibi? Rising Signals Have Started to Appear

Current Status of the Dollar and Future Expectations

The US Dollar has been attracting attention recently, having gone through a challenging period in 2025. Since the beginning of 2025, the Dollar has lost approximately 9% of its value, particularly showing weak performance against its rivals such as the Euro. However, there are signs of a potential recovery for the Dollar at the beginning of 2026.

Technical Indicators: Golden Cross Signal

Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, noted that an important development occurred in the ICE US Dollar Index last week. The crossing of the 50-day simple moving average above the 200-day moving average indicates the formation of a technical signal known as a "golden cross." This situation is a hopeful sign for Dollar investors.

Market Reactions and Future Predictions

The US Dollar Index fell by 0.3% on Monday, trading around 98.30, just above the lowest levels of the year. However, Ciana states, "a golden cross signal is generally bullish for the Dollar." Such signals have indicated in the past that the Dollar is entering a recovery phase. This event, recorded as the 39th golden cross signal in the last 53 years, may offer investors a renewed opportunity to turn to the Dollar.

Interest Policies and Global Economic Effects

The weak performance of the Dollar this year is influenced by US President Donald Trump's trade policies and the interest rates of other major economies. In the global market, the interest policies of central banks play a decisive role for investors. In particular, since the Federal Reserve has indicated it may lower policy rates, investors have been negatively impacted during this challenging period for the Dollar.

Conclusion and Expectations

In the coming months, whether the Dollar will recover will depend on the steps taken by the Fed and global risk appetite. It is crucial to be cautious in trading activities and to monitor developments in international markets.