Cease-Fire Blows Istanbul Stock Market, Strong Response in Banking and Transportation

BIST Starts New Week With 100 Ceasefire Hopes Surpassing 3%

The development of the ceasefire between Iran and Israel in the Middle East has had its effect on Borsa Istanbul, as well as on global markets. The BIST 100 index showed a strong rebound on the new day, starting at 9,419.14 points, up 3.04 percent. The banking index increased by 4.71 percent, while the holding shares also showed a positive trend of 3.09 percent.

The reaction following yesterday's loss has been strong

On the previous trading day, as geopolitical risks intensified, the BIST 100 index fell 0.67 percent to 9,141.31 points. But with the news of the truce quickly reverberating to the market, hard buying at the opening gave the index a gain of 277.83 points. This rise has renewed confidence among investors, while technically levels 9,500 and 9,600 have begun to stand out as new targets in the index.

Global Signals: Risk Perception Decreases, Liquidity Boost Provides Support

The news of the ceasefire, following mutual military operations by Iran and Israel, reduced uncertainty in the market, increasing the appetite of global investors to take risks. The sharp fall in oil prices led to the easing of inflationary pressures, which reflected positively on stock markets around the world. Major indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed higher in the US, while Asian bourses also saw a strong rally. On the European side, ECB President Lagarde's speech and the course of developments in the Middle East continue to determine the direction of markets.

Sectoral Segregation Deepens: Transportation at Peak, Chemical-Oil-Plastics in Decline

The most notable increase among sector indices on the Stock Exchange Istanbul was in the transport index with 6.17 percent. In particular, reduced concerns about energy supply and the fall in oil prices have supported transport and logistics companies. In contrast, the chemicals, oil and plastics index fell by 1.44 percent. This revealed that industry-based investor preferences can change rapidly according to geopolitical developments. Banking stocks, on the other hand, rose with strong volumes, especially in the lead of public banks.

Technical Levels and Psychological Thresholds in Focus of Investors

Analysts note that the 9.500 and 9,600 points levels are tracked as strong resistances on the BIST 100 index, while the 9,300 and 9,200 points range can act as support. Psychological resistance points can be tested if the upward momentum continues in the index. Nevertheless, investors continue to closely monitor the news feed on geopolitical developments and statements by Fed President Powell. Technical indicators indicate that the overbought zone is approaching, and therefore the possibility of a short-term correction should not be ruled out either.

🧠 Expert Review

Although current geopolitical developments trigger volatility in the short term, the sustainability of the ceasefire will be an important determinant for the BIST 100. If persistence above the 9,500—9,600 band, the technical resistance levels, can be maintained in the medium term, a new uptrend may arise. In the long term, inflation data, central banks' interest rate decisions and the direction of global capital flows will play a decisive role in Borsa Istanbul's performance. Investors should dynamically revise their positions and develop strategies in line with both the news feed and the technical outlook.

🛑 Disclaimer

This content is created by the Investment Desk and does not constitute investment advice. You should make your decisions based on your own research and expert advisors.

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