December Inflation Expectations: What Do Economists Predict?

Expectations for December Inflation Data

The Turkish Statistical Institute will announce the December inflation data on January 5, Monday. According to a survey conducted by AA Finance, a total of 33 economists participated. The average monthly inflation expectation for December, as per the respondents, is calculated to be 0.96%.

Variability Among Economists' Expectations

The inflation expectations set for December vary among economists, ranging from 0.55% to 1.24%. According to these figures, economists expect the current annual inflation to decrease from 31.07% to 31%. This situation is perceived as a signal of general improvement in the economy.

Long-Term Inflation Expectations

The long-term inflation expectations projected by economists for the end of 2026 are also noteworthy. By the end of the year, the annual inflation is expected to reach an average of 23.33%. This is a critical indicator for long-term economic stability and monetary policies.

November Report and Consumer Price Index

The consumer price index showed an increase of 0.87% in November, which caused fluctuations in consumer purchasing power. As we enter December, economists' forecasts and consumer behaviors increase uncertainties in the markets.

In Conclusion

The December inflation expectations of economists provide important clues about both the short-term and long-term economic outlook. The data to be announced in the upcoming period will play a critical role in determining the direction of the economy.