December Inflation Expectation: What Do Economists Predict?

Expectation of Inflation Data for December

The Turkish Statistical Institute will announce the inflation data for December on January 5, Monday. According to a survey conducted by AA Finance, a total of 33 economists participated. Based on this survey, the average monthly inflation expectation for December is calculated to be 0.96 percent.

Variability Among Economists' Expectations

The inflation expectations for December vary among economists, ranging from 0.55 percent to 1.24 percent. These rates indicate that economists generally anticipate a decrease in the current annual inflation from 31.07 percent to 31 percent. This situation is considered a positive sign of general improvement in the economy.

Long-term Inflation Expectations

The inflation expectations projected by economists for the end of 2026 are also noteworthy. It is estimated that the annual inflation will reach an average of 23.33 percent by the end of the year. This serves as a critical indicator for long-term economic stability and monetary policies.

November Report and Consumer Price Index

The consumer price index showed an increase of 0.87 percent in November, which led to fluctuations in consumer purchasing power. As December begins, economists' predictions and consumer behaviors are increasing uncertainties in the markets.

In Conclusion

The December inflation expectations of economists provide important clues about both the short-term and long-term economic outlook. The data to be announced in the upcoming period will play a critical role in determining the direction of the economy.