December Inflation Expectation: What Do Economists Predict?

Expectations for December Inflation Data

The Turkish Statistical Institute will announce the December inflation data on January 5, Monday. A total of 33 economists participated in the expectation survey conducted by AA Finance. According to this survey, the average monthly inflation expectation for December among the participants is calculated to be 0.96%.

Variability Among Economists' Expectations

The inflation expectations for December vary among economists, ranging from 0.55% to 1.24%. These rates suggest that economists anticipate a decrease in the current annual inflation from 31.07% to 31%. This situation is perceived as a signal of general improvement in the economy.

Long-term Inflation Expectations

Economists' forecasts for the end of 2026 are also striking. It is estimated that the annual inflation will reach an average of 23.33% by the end of the year. This stands out as a critical indicator for long-term economic stability and monetary policies.

November Report and Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index showed an increase of 0.87% in November, which caused fluctuations in consumer purchasing power. As we enter December, economists' forecasts and consumer behavior are increasing uncertainties in the markets.

In Conclusion

The December inflation expectations of economists provide important clues about both the short-term and long-term economic outlook. The data to be announced in the upcoming period will play a critical role in determining the direction of the economy.