December Inflation Expectation: What Do Economists Forecast?

Inflation Expectations for December

The Turkish Statistical Institute will announce the December inflation data on Monday, January 5. A total of 33 economists participated in the expectation survey conducted by AA Finance. According to this survey, the average monthly inflation expectation of the participants for December is calculated to be 0.96%.

Variability Among Economists' Expectations

The inflation expectations for December vary among economists, ranging from 0.55% to 1.24%. These rates suggest that, according to the general consensus among economists, the current annual inflation is expected to decrease from 31.07% to 31%. This situation is considered a sign of general improvement in the economy.

Long-term Inflation Expectations

The inflation expectations projected by economists for the end of 2026 are also noteworthy. By the end of the year, the annual inflation is expected to reach an average of 23.33%. This is highlighted as a critical indicator for long-term economic stability and monetary policies.

November Report and Consumer Price Index

The consumer price index showed an increase of 0.87% in November, which caused fluctuations in consumer purchasing power. As December approaches, economists’ forecasts and consumer behavior are increasing uncertainties in the markets.

In Conclusion

The inflation expectations of economists for December provide significant insights into both the short-term and long-term economic outlook. The data to be announced in the upcoming period will play a crucial role in determining the direction of the economy.