He sets the rules that are golden, trade message from Trump instead of war

📌 What Happened?

At a time when a temporary ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine is under way, US President Donald Trump has issued a surprise appeal to the parties promising “great trade with the US” if they reach a peace deal. Trump said on his Truth Social account, “I hope they make a deal this week. Then they will both start to trade big with the United States and make a fortune,” he said.

Trump's remarks came amid ongoing conflict despite the short-lived truce announced on the occasion of Easter Sunday. Russian President Vladimir Putin has declared a ceasefire between 18 and 21 April. However, Ukrainian President Volodimir Zelenskiy has repeatedly accused Russia of violating this ceasefire.

Trump has sent messages that could directly affect the process, saying in previous statements that “if one of the parties makes it difficult, we can abandon the cease-fire talks.” In his last post, he pointed out how economic power can influence political processes, saying “The golden rules of negotiation and success: He sets the rules that are golden.” These words are seen as a reflection of the classic Trump style, which associates negotiating power with the economy.

Trump also referred to business figures who have criticized him for the tax policies of countries that trade with the United States, saying, “I am the greatest friend of American capitalism ever.” Directly guiding U.S. domestic and foreign trade strategies, Trump is sending a message to both voters and international actors with these outputs.

From the point of view of the peace process, the economic stimulus offered by Trump can be considered a trump card that can influence the decisions of the warring parties. But the current climate of mistrust, the breakdown of the ceasefire with constant violations and the hardening of the positions of the parties make the feasibility of this proposal uncertain. Experts say Trump's economic promises can be considered a kind of “soft power” strategy, but only if they are backed up by concrete contributions to the diplomatic process.

📉 Products That May Be Affected

🟢 Positive:
• Potential trade products between US-Russia-Ukraine
• Peace-bound international agriculture, energy and logistics companies
• Infrastructure firms integrated into US foreign trade strategy

🔴 Negative:
• Defense industry companies (order contraction in case of peace)
• Risky positions based on short-term energy and commodity prices
• Sectors directly affected by the military conflict in Ukraine

🧠 Expert Review

Trump's message of economic stimulus to the Russia-Ukraine conflict gives the impression of a strategy built on financial promises, unlike the classical tools of diplomacy. This approach could also create great opportunities for U.S. companies in the post-conflict reconstruction process. But the peace process can be shaped not only by economic returns, but by the mechanisms of political will and international guarantor. For the investor, the easing of tension in the region could create a significant relief in global supply chains for agricultural, energy and industrial products. In the medium and long term, this can also have a positive impact on the international investment environment.

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🛑 Disclaimer

This content is not investment advice. You should make your decisions based on your own research and professional advisors.

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